1. USC runs the table, beating Notre Dame hanidly, and just edging out an otherwise undefeated Oregon in the PAC-12CG
2. Texas beats Kansas St
3. Florida St and Clemson win out
4. Ohio St beats Michigan, Stanford beats ucla
5. Bama wins out
6. Same as above except Georgia beats Bama
Who goes to the title game?
Cases for and against:
FSU 1 loss in a close game, but against a bad team. Would have wins over 2 final top-10 ranked teams. champion of what is considered a weak conference, and would have played the weakest overall SOS of the contenders.
Oregon: Would have wins over 4 or 5 final ranked teams, which would be more than any of the contenders. Would not be a conference champion, and would have lost their last game of the season. PAC-12 would have by far the most impressive OOC wins, with wins over possibly 5 ranked teams, 1 possible top-10 ranked team.
Bama: Only loss is a close game vs a top-10 team. Champion of what is perceived to be the toughest conference, but would have wins over only 2 or 3 final ranked teams, though 1-2 of them would be top-10 ranked teams.
Kansas St. Champion of what is considered by the computers as the toughest conference. Would have wins over only 2 possibly 3 final ranked teams, with one of those possibly in the top-10. Would have lost their last game of the season, but would be against what is considered a “hot” team, similar to Oregon.
Georgia (in the case they beat Bama). Would have wins over only 2 ranked teams, but both are likely top-10 teams. Champion of the sec, loss is to a good team, but the loss is by 33 points.
Notre Dame. Would have lost their last game. Win over only 1 ranked opponent, but that opponent is a possible top-10 opponent.
Who goes to the bcs title game in this scenario.
If this happens, then for sure Bama is in. If it is Georgia who wins the sec, then it is not as clear cut IMO. I believe that Oregon should be in, in either case as well, but as we have seen since the inception of the bcs, PAC-10/12 teams routinely get screwed. I don’t see any way that Notre Dame would get it. FSU would have a strong case, but their computer rankings would very likely hold them back too much, but you never know. LSU would make some noise, but would have no real case, and would be an absolute travesty if they got in.